MONITORING OF SYSTEM-LEVEL CONCENTRATION AND INTERCONNECTEDNESS

Supervisory authorities are usually responsible for the identification of risks to financial stability within their jurisdictions. In line with this responsibility, they also need to assess potential risks arising from outsourcing relationships in the financial sector. These relationships may create significant level of system-level concentration and interconnectedness in the sector, which may lead to systemic risks. A failure or severe disruption of a critical third-party service provider may have important impact on financial stability in a jurisdiction.1 The impact depends on several factors including:

  • the criticality of the relevant service provider and its services to financial sector
  • the systemic significance of the FSPs that rely on the relevant service provider and its services
  • the degree of substitutability of these services
  • the recoverability of its services to FSPs2

The level of criticality of service providers is impacted by the level of concentration of the relevant services to FSPs. The reliance on one or a few leading service providers in the sector can increase systemic risks, making the financial sector more vulnerable if these service providers or their services to FSPs experience disruptions or failures. One example is the recent reliance on just a few providers of Artificial Intelligence (AI) models. This market concentration is driven by the centrality of data and the substantial costs associated with developing and implementing data-intensive models. Heavy up-front investment is required to build data storage facilities, hire and train staff, gather and clean data and develop or refine algorithms. However, once the infrastructure is established, the cost of adding each extra unit of data becomes negligible. This centrality leads to so-called data gravity: companies that already have an edge in collecting, storing and analyzing data can provide better-trained AI tools. The use of these tools generates even more data over time. The consequence of data gravity is that only a few companies provide cutting-edge Large Language Models (LLMs). If any of these providers or their models were to fail or suffer a cyberattack, it would pose significant risks to FSPs relying on them (BIS 2024).

A higher concentration of services does not automatically lead to systemic risks. Supervisory authorities should carefully assess market concentration to determine the actual level of systemic risk. These assessments should also consider the total number and size of FSPs served in the sector and the extent to which they involve systemically important FSPs. Supervisory authorities should also consider the sub-contracting relationships of service providers offering critical services. However, not all sub-contracting relationships require close scrutiny; the focus should be on the significant ones. Additionally, it is important to consider whether a single service provider delivers multiple types of critical services to FSPs. Furthermore, relationships between a service provider and an FSP can sometimes lead to interdependency issues. For example, bigtechs partner with FSPs to offer various financial products and services through banking-as-a-service (BaaS) arrangements. These partnerships enable bigtechs to integrate different payment methods (e.g., Alipay, PayPal, Google Pay, Mercado Pago) or a variety of credit offerings (e.g., buy-now-pay-later partnerships with AliExpress or Klarna) into their e-commerce platforms. On the other hand, as part of their digitization strategy, FSPs have come to heavily rely on cloud computing and data analytics services from bigtechs. This two-way relationship has the potential to give rise to system-level concentration and interconnectedness in the financial sector (Crisanto et al. 2022 and Kerse et al. 2024).

As previously discussed, FSPs need to identify the materiality of service they outsource to a third-party before establishing a relationship. The assessment of material services by individual FSPs is an important input for supervisory authorities for the oversight of system-level concentration and interconnectedness in the sector. However, it is important to note that not all material services from the perspective of an individual FSP would create such concentration and interconnectedness, which could pose systemic risks. Supervisory authorities should focus on the system-level concentration and interconnectivity in the sector that could have potential impact on financial stability from any disruptions to the relevant services and service provider. Germany’s supervisory authority BaFin, for example, requires FSPs to notify it on new outsourcing arrangements, including those involving cloud services, through its own “electronic reporting and publishing platform” (BaFin 2023). BaFin experts also create a graphic representation of the data in the form of outsourcing maps, which shows the market-level concentration in the sector (BaFin 2022). This visualization helps identify risks, including those emerging from subcontractors further down the chain. BaFin highlights that it is sometimes only at these lower sub-contracting levels that it becomes apparent that the same service provider is contracted by numerous FSPs and provide services to a variety of companies.

In many markets, it has become more challenging for supervisors to assess and monitor systemic risks posed by third-parties that become critical providers of services to multiple FSPs and nonfinancial companies, such as platforms. This challenge arises when supervisors focus solely on the FSPs that outsource these services. One example lies in the increased use of CSPs. Currently, most third-party cloud computing is not subject to financial regulation beyond requirements for outsourcing FSPs in areas such as business continuity, data security, and exit strategies.3 However, FSPs may struggle to identify, manage, and mitigate these issues. Moreover, the existing regulatory framework may not require FSPs to inform or seek approval from supervisory authorities to engage in material outsourcing activities. Consequently, the authority may not be able to assess an FSP’s ability to manage the risks associated with early-stage outsourcing of material cloud services (Kerse at al. 2024). In many jurisdictions the reliance on a few large global CSPs raises concerns about market concentration and potential implications for financial stability. These large global CSPs often employ standard service agreements that may not guarantee supervisory access and audit rights, partly due to concerns about customer data privacy. It is evident that no single FSP can adequately manage the risks associated with the concentration of critical services a third party offers to multiple FSPs.4

Supervisory authorities are now considering whether the traditional burden on FSPs to manage outsourcing risks should change where outsourced services pose a threat to financial stability. For instance, the EU recently introduced the Digital Operational Resilience Act (DORA) to manage the risks arising from critical third-parties. Similarly, in the UK, new regulations are being proposed to enable supervisory authorities to directly oversee third-parties that provide critical services to FSPs. These regulations will require critical third-parties to ensure that any critical services they provide to firms and financial market infrastructures (FMIs) meet the minimum resilience standards at all times. UK authorities consider that a set of standards similar to those in Annex F of the CPMI-IOSCO (2012), but tailored to critical third-party providers across financial sector, could be a key tool for managing the systemic risks that they pose (BoE 2022). The UK proposal therefore includes potential minimum resilience standards in several key areas, including:

  • identification of critical services and mapping of necessary resources to deliver these services
  • risk management including identification and prevention of risks to the financial and operational resilience of critical third parties
  • resilience testing
  • engagement with supervisory authorities
  • development of a financial sector continuity playbook that outlines the specific measures that a critical third party would take to mitigate the potential systemic impact of their failure, or severe disruption to any critical services to FSPs and FMIs
  • post-incident communication plans to mitigate the risk of an operational incident originating in or affecting a critical third party becoming a systemic event due to, for instance bank runs, liquidity shortages, market volatility, and fraud
  • learning and evolving from severe disruption experiences
Notes:

1. This paper considers a third-party service provider as critical if any failure in or disruption to the services it provides to FSPs could threaten the stability or confidence in the country’s financial system. Different authorities may have distinction definitions and specific criteria for determining critical service providers.

2. For other criteria and tools for identifying critical third party service providers and services and managing potential systemic risks from these dependencies, see FSB (2023).

3. In certain jurisdictions, some non-financial regulations do also apply to CSPs. For instance, under the EU’s General Data Protection Regulation (GDPR) and GDPR-like data protection regimes in other countries, CSPs are considered as data processors. As a result, CSPs must adhere to data protection laws and regulations, including those with restrictions on cross-border transfers.

4. See Dias et al. 2023 for the potential supervisory implications of the cloud computing.

Country Examples

Link to European Union case studies
European Union
Link to United Kingdom case studies
United Kingdom